Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 89 | 98.2¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 4,661 | 1.2¢ | $37 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 28 | 98.7¢ | $28 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,000 | 4.5¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 2,000 | 1.1¢ | $16 | Proven+$11.46 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,716 | 1.2¢ | $14 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1,276 | 3.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 981 | 0.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| 0x2fc8…b2de | Yes | 832 | 3.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 792 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| keszkewmeszke0x42e8…e4e6 | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 512 | 1.4¢ | $4 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 98.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 478 | 4.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 442 | 1.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 437 | 4.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 420 | 1.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | 394 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 990 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 365 | 1.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 3 | 98.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 333 | 1.9¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 298 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 324 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| CDReves0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | 250 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| MrGrunbaum0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | 240 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| hgnucusc0x2427…cfae | Yes | 240 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 235 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| kaayadahlia0x4e41…288b | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $2 | New94 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 188 | 3.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| LJa7io23MCv954j0x85a8…9281 | Yes | 182 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 163 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 158 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 153 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 151 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| 0x8725…9fab | Yes | 143 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 131 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| aysupernova0x8bd3…5cf0 | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6a40…599e | Yes | 96 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.25 per $100 · 4,466 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| mw970x36da…8218 | Yes | 80 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 70 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| TheJewishHammer0x2cc1…3e21 | Yes | 60 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| siffy0xb7c7…b3bb | Yes | 56 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf7a4…9c43 | Yes | 55 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| qiuqiuqiu3340xfbae…b1a9 | Yes | 52 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Casadepapel0x2ae2…8b8f | Yes | 51 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 50 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 0x37ea…f395 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 899 bets |
| Mahimahii0x7ec1…61bf | Yes | 31 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 30 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 24 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 19 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 19 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,580 bets |
| 0x004a…f9e5 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 18 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.