Market · 13 of 22 outcomes
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 1,000 | 99.0¢ | $995 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 154 | 99.0¢ | $153 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 99.7¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 63 | 98.8¢ | $62 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 99.4¢ | $38 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,914 | 0.5¢ | $20 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| mitdemwind0xf1b0…5768 | Yes | 2,643 | 0.9¢ | $13 | New4 settled bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,509 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xdcfe…b7d3 | Yes | 1,761 | 0.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 1,715 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 8 | 98.8¢ | $8 | — |
| stavr0x5c22…e4db | Yes | 1,453 | 0.3¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 151 bets |
| DonPatatoPatatero0xcc74…f5aa | Yes | 1,387 | 2.8¢ | $7 | — |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 1,079 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 696 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 602 | 1.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9c84…be53 | Yes | 600 | 2.6¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 554 | 6.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| 0x6528…2006 | Yes | 489 | 0.2¢ | $2 | New1 settled bet |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 438 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 399 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 390 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,713 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 296 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 270 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,656 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 134 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 128 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 111 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 108 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 298 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 60 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 60 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 52 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 38 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 34 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 34 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 18 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | Yes | 15 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8C8C820x8c8c…750e | Yes | 12 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 10 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.36 per $100 · 2,439 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 10 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | Yes | 6 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 5 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,333 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xadb5…e421 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.26 per $100 · 91,292+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.