Market · 30 of 43 outcomes
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 50 | 98.5¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 10 | 92.7¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 387 | 6.4¢ | $4 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 233 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 113.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.