Market · 16 of 43 outcomes
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 98.4¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 317 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $9 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 144 | 0.0¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 132.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.