Market · 18 of 43 outcomes
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 278 | 97.5¢ | $271 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 23 | 98.1¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 535 | 2.2¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 287 | 1.4¢ | $7 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $7 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 280 | 0.8¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 113.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.