Market · 1 of 43 outcomes
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 278 | 97.5¢ | $236 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 553 | 2.2¢ | $84 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 287 | 1.4¢ | $43 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $43 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 280 | 0.8¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 144 | 0.0¢ | $22 | New0 settled bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 23 | 98.1¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 63 | 1.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 57 | 0.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| wapplegate0x2132…acbe | No | 7 | 94.7¢ | $6 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 11 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 10 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 5 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 4 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 43sdd0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | 2 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | Yes | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 1 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| social.tm0x7eaf…34d1 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.