Market · 12 of 43 outcomes
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 317 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 98.4¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $12 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 144 | 0.0¢ | $6 | New0 settled bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 90 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 89 | 3.9¢ | $4 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 63 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| bluetens270xb2c5…6593 | Yes | 57 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ImNotBetting0x686d…1a68 | Yes | 56 | 3.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8e8c…cd95 | Yes | 56 | 3.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 52 | 2.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 30 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 25 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 21 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 19 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 10 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| Pjchougule - 13260x2998…b425 | Yes | 5 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 4 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | Yes | 4 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 0 | 93.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 1 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 1 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| w23878id0x12e1…e482 | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 94.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| g2hleiuo0xe283…8477 | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 44gjk0x7e46…0715 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.