Market · 33 of 43 outcomes
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 50 | 98.5¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 10 | 92.7¢ | $10 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 387 | 6.4¢ | $3 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 233 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 2 | 92.9¢ | $2 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 144 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 119 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 98 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 59 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 54 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 35 | 6.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 21 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 14 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 10 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 10 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x86ca…16be | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 4 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 4 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 3 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 1 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.81 per $100 · 29,827+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.