Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 2 outcomes add up to 98.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 6 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 35,266 | 43.1¢ | $12.2K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 5,656 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | No | 15,981 | 56.0¢ | $10.5K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 22,335 | 43.7¢ | $7.71K | New15 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | No | 10,684 | 56.7¢ | $7K | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| ASteroide0x05c6…d823 | Yes | 19,222 | 39.6¢ | $6.63K | Losing−$4.24 per $100 · 2,711 bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 6,264 | 52.8¢ | $4.1K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
6 accounts bet both sides equally · 156K shares each side · Show
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