Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 7 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 35,266 | 43.1¢ | $12.2K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | No | 15,981 | 56.0¢ | $10.5K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 22,335 | 43.7¢ | $7.71K | New15 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | No | 10,684 | 56.7¢ | $7K | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| ASteroide0x05c6…d823 | Yes | 19,222 | 39.6¢ | $6.63K | Losing−$4.24 per $100 · 2,711 bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 6,264 | 52.8¢ | $4.1K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 10,000 | 45.0¢ | $3.45K | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| eparostaf20xb3e1…53df | Yes | 8,990 | 39.2¢ | $3.1K | — |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | 8,971 | 35.4¢ | $3.09K | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 4,433 | 66.0¢ | $2.9K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | No | 3,427 | 54.0¢ | $2.24K | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| 0x5b78…e92c | No | 3,424 | 61.0¢ | $2.24K | — |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | Yes | 5,910 | 40.3¢ | $2.04K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| 0xa1be…0f43 | No | 3,012 | 65.0¢ | $1.97K | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 5,190 | 35.2¢ | $1.79K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 3,846 | 39.1¢ | $1.33K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,250 bets |
| 0x3368…6fd9 | No | 1,962 | 65.0¢ | $1.29K | — |
| aliaspopeye0x8713…196b | Yes | 3,593 | 34.0¢ | $1.24K | — |
| 0x2e04…0c4b | No | 1,850 | 65.0¢ | $1.21K | — |
| 0x96a0…191b | Yes | 3,424 | 40.0¢ | $1.18K | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 1,800 | 53.5¢ | $1.18K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 3,333 | 33.0¢ | $1.15K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| churna0xed11…10be | No | 1,674 | 60.8¢ | $1.1K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 301 bets |
| 0x88bc…b479 | No | 1,480 | 61.0¢ | $970 | — |
| 0xc4c1…2dd3 | Yes | 2,665 | 41.0¢ | $919 | — |
| 0xde03…9789 | No | 1,395 | 64.0¢ | $913 | — |
| foxydoxy0x1b7d…b5d4 | No | 1,333 | 61.0¢ | $873 | — |
| 0x39c9…eb51 | No | 1,183 | 66.0¢ | $775 | — |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | Yes | 2,160 | 46.3¢ | $745 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 0x5c31…657d | Yes | 2,116 | 35.9¢ | $730 | — |
| baek-ahjin0xa0c4…978f | No | 1,111 | 50.2¢ | $728 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 209 bets |
| jiewuyu0x9171…3d84 | Yes | 2,054 | 36.9¢ | $709 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x1f5d…7276 | No | 983 | 65.0¢ | $644 | — |
| wujeczek0x7355…e9a5 | Yes | 1,796 | 39.8¢ | $620 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 922 | 61.0¢ | $604 | Losing−$17.28 per $100 · 7,289 bets |
| 0x6ec8…a0b6 | No | 913 | 55.0¢ | $598 | — |
| 0x2a1e…f980 | No | 911 | 55.0¢ | $597 | — |
| 0x4f30…1a95 | Yes | 1,715 | 35.9¢ | $592 | — |
| 0x2179…bb80 | No | 900 | 65.0¢ | $590 | — |
| 0x1bcb…04a4 | Yes | 1,554 | 35.9¢ | $536 | — |
| 0x6898…a3bd | No | 790 | 55.0¢ | $518 | — |
| 0x7131…824b | Yes | 1,485 | 35.9¢ | $512 | — |
| kongehund0x7f61…8554 | Yes | 1,384 | 40.0¢ | $477 | — |
| 0x8557…b2ec | No | 719 | 65.0¢ | $471 | — |
| 0xef91…c629 | Yes | 1,349 | 36.9¢ | $466 | — |
| LosealaHarris0xa6c0…d6dc | Yes | 1,282 | 40.0¢ | $442 | — |
| 0kayd0kay0x7207…1c60 | No | 667 | 61.0¢ | $437 | — |
| 0x6db6…50ce | Yes | 1,244 | 40.0¢ | $429 | — |
| wildek0x0d19…c745 | Yes | 1,205 | 41.3¢ | $416 | — |
| Ajjooli0x0404…8353 | Yes | 1,200 | 34.9¢ | $414 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 299 bets |
| 0xc8f8…3a63 | Yes | 1,188 | 34.9¢ | $410 | — |
| 0xa34b…19bf | No | 605 | 55.0¢ | $397 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | No | 605 | 52.7¢ | $396 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| 0xcaae…5761 | Yes | 1,115 | 45.0¢ | $385 | — |
| 0x91bd…0fc4 | No | 585 | 55.0¢ | $383 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 1,100 | 42.1¢ | $379 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| vishy27730x7245…f1c3 | Yes | 1,100 | 46.0¢ | $379 | Losing−$4.48 per $100 · 145 bets |
| 0x77fc…0eb0 | Yes | 1,081 | 36.9¢ | $373 | — |
| 0x4e39…adf0 | Yes | 1,075 | 34.9¢ | $371 | — |
| oddo0x62b3…4849 | Yes | 1,070 | 36.4¢ | $369 | — |
| konsultpappan0xf353…7aec | Yes | 1,065 | 44.8¢ | $368 | — |
| 0x03e4…8b98 | Yes | 1,050 | 35.9¢ | $362 | — |
| 0xa0e6…e814 | Yes | 1,000 | 35.9¢ | $345 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,000 | 50.0¢ | $345 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| NihilisticMeerkat0xd8ca…7229 | Yes | 1,000 | 40.0¢ | $345 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 282 bets |
| Fripon0x3e6e…9338 | Yes | 1,000 | 34.0¢ | $345 | — |
| 20sur200xa8fe…4474 | Yes | 999 | 34.0¢ | $344 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | No | 500 | 53.9¢ | $328 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| Dropowy40xaaeb…c969 | Yes | 939 | 42.1¢ | $324 | — |
| 0x6d03…5dd2 | Yes | 937 | 34.9¢ | $323 | — |
| 0xaa81…13bc | No | 473 | 66.0¢ | $310 | — |
| 0xe370…2621 | No | 464 | 64.0¢ | $304 | — |
| tipo0xc6b6…3add | Yes | 871 | 39.5¢ | $300 | — |
| 0xc9f0…cce1 | Yes | 864 | 35.9¢ | $298 | — |
| 0xcfbd…cd84 | Yes | 851 | 45.0¢ | $294 | — |
| 0xd4b1…aef2 | No | 389 | 55.0¢ | $255 | — |
| 0x6f53…8910 | No | 322 | 56.0¢ | $211 | — |
| 0x3c63…3e40 | No | 318 | 65.0¢ | $208 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 258 | 57.0¢ | $169 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| 0xb057…193c | No | 237 | 66.0¢ | $155 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 233 | 63.0¢ | $153 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0xe162…584b | No | 215 | 65.0¢ | $141 | — |
| 0xd680…515e | No | 203 | 58.0¢ | $133 | — |
| 0x380f…6b5f | No | 202 | 58.0¢ | $132 | — |
| 0x1192…de73 | No | 200 | 59.0¢ | $131 | — |
| 0x194f…ffb4 | No | 200 | 58.0¢ | $131 | — |
| 0x52f9…89ae | No | 200 | 60.0¢ | $131 | — |
| 0x638a…50c1 | No | 200 | 59.0¢ | $131 | — |
7 accounts bet both sides equally · 264K shares each side · Show
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