Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 2 outcomes add up to 98.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 20 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| loganx0x3a34…c974 | Yes | 74,883 | 66.7¢ | $47.6K | New0 settled bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 74,833 | 31.8¢ | $27.3K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| rhmaxi0xe4d3…a194 | Yes | 36,876 | 67.7¢ | $23.4K | New0 settled bets |
| alwayssaytrue0x417c…47e5 | Yes | 36,173 | 69.0¢ | $23K | New0 settled bets |
| ASteroide0x05c6…d823 | Yes | 19,222 | 60.1¢ | $12.2K | Losing−$4.24 per $100 · 2,711 bets |
| pegfault0x4a23…079f | Yes | 18,891 | 54.0¢ | $12K | New67 settled bets |
20 accounts bet both sides equally · 713K shares each side · Show
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