Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 21 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| loganx0x3a34…c974 | Yes | 74,883 | 66.7¢ | $47.6K | New0 settled bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 74,833 | 31.8¢ | $27.3K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| rhmaxi0xe4d3…a194 | Yes | 36,876 | 67.7¢ | $23.4K | New0 settled bets |
| alwayssaytrue0x417c…47e5 | Yes | 36,173 | 69.0¢ | $23K | New0 settled bets |
| ASteroide0x05c6…d823 | Yes | 19,222 | 60.1¢ | $12.2K | Losing−$4.24 per $100 · 2,711 bets |
| pegfault0x4a23…079f | Yes | 18,891 | 54.0¢ | $12K | New67 settled bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 23,325 | 41.2¢ | $8.51K | Losing−$17.42 per $100 · 7,310 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 21,919 | 34.0¢ | $8K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,661 bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | No | 20,100 | 39.5¢ | $7.34K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 10,000 | 54.0¢ | $6.35K | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 8,696 | 56.0¢ | $5.52K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| zhiming10x78da…b975 | Yes | 8,585 | 58.2¢ | $5.45K | New36 settled bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | No | 13,118 | 42.9¢ | $4.79K | Losing−$5.49 per $100 · 8,519 bets |
| Insider20240x319d…2538 | Yes | 6,575 | 67.1¢ | $4.17K | New39 settled bets |
| wagmiser0xef62…0179 | Yes | 5,126 | 61.0¢ | $3.26K | Losing−$4.49 per $100 · 251 bets |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | Yes | 5,000 | 59.0¢ | $3.17K | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 4,444 | 57.0¢ | $2.82K | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 3,846 | 57.6¢ | $2.44K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,359 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 3,547 | 60.9¢ | $2.25K | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 6,016 | 36.0¢ | $2.2K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| boppa0x567d…f927 | Yes | 3,325 | 60.0¢ | $2.11K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 141 bets |
| EducatedGuess694200xed49…8783 | Yes | 3,297 | 60.0¢ | $2.09K | New84 settled bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,039 | 53.0¢ | $1.93K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| memeking0x2b82…b4e0 | No | 5,145 | 46.0¢ | $1.88K | New14 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 2,950 | 58.4¢ | $1.87K | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| churna0xed11…10be | Yes | 2,850 | 59.5¢ | $1.81K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 301 bets |
| 0xe6f1…63d6 | Yes | 1,992 | 64.9¢ | $1.27K | New4 settled bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | Yes | 1,800 | 54.0¢ | $1.14K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 1,785 | 53.1¢ | $1.13K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xbbde…1b3c | Yes | 1,720 | 66.0¢ | $1.09K | New5 settled bets |
| 0x55a1…5a26 | Yes | 1,700 | 66.9¢ | $1.08K | New10 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 2,443 | 36.4¢ | $892 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| yippers0xb427…9445 | Yes | 1,402 | 61.0¢ | $891 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 125 bets |
| dixiedox0x86c1…cace | Yes | 1,400 | 58.0¢ | $889 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 188 bets |
| biscuitboy0x80e5…2418 | Yes | 1,333 | 61.0¢ | $847 | Losing−$2.25 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0xdbb6…93cf | Yes | 1,255 | 54.0¢ | $797 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x3b5d…8995 | Yes | 1,241 | 66.0¢ | $788 | New12 settled bets |
| 0x8df2…788d | Yes | 1,226 | 61.1¢ | $779 | New24 settled bets |
| 0xb60c…8fa7 | Yes | 1,220 | 58.0¢ | $775 | New10 settled bets |
| 0xbe99…2b03 | Yes | 1,168 | 58.0¢ | $742 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x8d78…eb90 | No | 1,720 | 34.9¢ | $628 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x7722…c508 | No | 1,672 | 43.0¢ | $610 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x3819…6ed4 | No | 1,538 | 33.0¢ | $561 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | No | 1,514 | 45.1¢ | $552 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| 0x0c2e…7a44 | No | 1,313 | 42.0¢ | $479 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x946f…2404 | No | 1,241 | 34.9¢ | $453 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x3747…457c | No | 1,220 | 43.0¢ | $445 | New8 settled bets |
| 0xa6d7…2801 | No | 1,168 | 43.0¢ | $426 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xcec4…4325 | No | 1,160 | 42.0¢ | $423 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x114b…d980 | No | 1,113 | 34.9¢ | $406 | New16 settled bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | No | 1,100 | 41.9¢ | $402 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 0x2409…1f3d | No | 1,083 | 34.9¢ | $395 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xfdab…0ee0 | No | 1,075 | 34.9¢ | $392 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xa2ec…17b3 | No | 1,042 | 34.0¢ | $380 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x5293…4b34 | No | 1,000 | 46.0¢ | $365 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 188 bets |
| 0xe885…d960 | No | 959 | 34.9¢ | $350 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xdb03…e8d9 | No | 939 | 36.0¢ | $343 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xb864…4ea4 | No | 806 | 34.9¢ | $294 | New5 settled bets |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 780 | 35.1¢ | $285 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| 0x7231…415a | No | 725 | 34.5¢ | $265 | New9 settled bets |
| 0xe6ab…45cd | No | 682 | 46.0¢ | $249 | New5 settled bets |
21 accounts bet both sides equally · 753K shares each side · Show
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