Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 109.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 99.7¢ | $15 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 157 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 60 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 11.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,225 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.