Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 91.2¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 152 | 9.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$9.44 per $100 · 906 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 89.8¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 90 | 8.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 9 outcomes add up to 109.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.