Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 107.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 341 | 34.7¢ | $124 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 146 | 65.0¢ | $93 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 52 | 39.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 67.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 20 | 40.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 65.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.