Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 379 | 34.8¢ | $139 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 146 | 65.0¢ | $93 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 52 | 39.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 67.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 20 | 40.2¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 1,978 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 65.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 11.1¢ | $4 | — |
| smileudance0xaa73…c2c4 | Yes | 5 | 41.2¢ | $2 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 4 | 36.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 2 | 33.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 1 | 63.0¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 11.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.