Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 107.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 427 | 28.1¢ | $137 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 200 | 70.2¢ | $136 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 930 bets |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 307 | 29.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$9.44 per $100 · 906 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 116 | 70.4¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 73 | 69.1¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 70 | 70.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.