Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 205 | 26.4¢ | $51 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 60 | 71.0¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 46 | 73.1¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0x0458…a875 | Yes | 100 | 26.1¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 75.9¢ | $11 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 21.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 9 outcomes add up to 109.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.