Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 218 | 25.8¢ | $48 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 50 | 71.0¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 46 | 73.1¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0x0458…a875 | Yes | 100 | 26.1¢ | $22 | New95 settled bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 75.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 21.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $4 | — |
| winser0x2e83…6705 | No | 5 | 83.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5250…b975 | No | 5 | 77.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 10 | 21.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 3 | 21.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 1 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 1 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 11.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,313 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.