Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 100 | 89.1¢ | $94 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 97.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| 0x0458…a875 | Yes | 140 | 11.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x5250…b975 | No | 4 | 97.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 44 | 13.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 32 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 9 outcomes add up to 109.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.