Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podairpod0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | 427 | 28.1¢ | $137 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 772 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 200 | 70.2¢ | $136 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 930 bets |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 307 | 29.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 911 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 116 | 70.4¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 73 | 69.1¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 70 | 70.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 64 | 68.1¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 52 | 71.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 20 | 69.1¢ | $14 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 35 | 31.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 15 | 75.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 19 | 33.4¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 11.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 9 | 29.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| smileudance0xaa73…c2c4 | Yes | 7 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Respire0x604a…14f4 | Yes | 3 | 33.1¢ | $1 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 2 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 1,890 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.