Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 33.5¢ | +30.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 83.1¢ | +79.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 94.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 94.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 3¢.
About $23 can be bought and $2 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.2¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:33 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play