Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 31.9¢ | +29.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 82.2¢ | +79.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 90.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 90.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $25 can be bought and $18 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 2.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 23:10 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play