Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 34.6¢ | +32.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 83.9¢ | +81.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 91.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 91.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $16 can be bought and $18 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 2.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 03:48 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 104 events · $6.09M in play