Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 593 events · $31.8M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
24 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | No | 238,364 | 45.0¢ | $91.8K | New74 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 55,548 | 59.6¢ | $34.2K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,397 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 72,767 | 43.7¢ | $28K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 44,315 | 56.8¢ | $27.3K | New6 settled bets |
| Olliii8010x9745…efe5 | Yes | 24,457 | 62.1¢ | $15K | — |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | Yes | 13,605 | 57.1¢ | $8.37K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 12,946 | 52.1¢ | $7.96K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | Yes | 12,200 | 61.2¢ | $7.5K | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | Yes | 12,000 | 59.0¢ | $7.38K | New88 settled bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 12,000 | 61.0¢ | $7.38K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | Yes | 11,423 | 62.2¢ | $7.03K | Proven+$18.47 per $100 · 163 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 8,573 | 60.0¢ | $5.27K | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| 0xc79d…0203 | Yes | 8,065 | 62.9¢ | $4.96K | New30 settled bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 7,949 | 52.7¢ | $4.89K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 7,500 | 56.0¢ | $4.61K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 11,000 | 41.1¢ | $4.23K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 728 bets |
| SIMO-HAYHA0xb32b…4a7a | Yes | 6,750 | 53.1¢ | $4.15K | New6 settled bets |
| 0x7726…4aee | Yes | 6,174 | 52.0¢ | $3.8K | Proven+$17.44 per $100 · 324 bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | Yes | 5,100 | 59.0¢ | $3.14K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| HD450x600e…7aac | Yes | 5,000 | 59.0¢ | $3.08K | — |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 5,000 | 54.0¢ | $3.08K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | Yes | 5,000 | 56.9¢ | $3.07K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 451 bets |
| dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc8 | Yes | 4,909 | 57.0¢ | $3.02K | Proven+$2.40 per $100 · 217 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 4,812 | 55.4¢ | $2.96K | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| studentgameer0xbd00…4fc0 | Yes | 4,433 | 53.0¢ | $2.73K | Break-even−$0.19 per $100 · 382 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Yes | 4,122 | 60.6¢ | $2.54K | Losing−$2.81 per $100 · 31,789 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 4,000 | 59.4¢ | $2.46K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| bnbaltz0x8181…a32c | Yes | 3,969 | 63.9¢ | $2.44K | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 3,673 | 52.7¢ | $2.26K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | Yes | 3,562 | 62.6¢ | $2.19K | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| inrock300xd576…d5e3 | Yes | 3,500 | 62.9¢ | $2.15K | New97 settled bets |
| smoovster0xfa77…563b | Yes | 3,442 | 59.1¢ | $2.12K | New50 settled bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 5,471 | 43.1¢ | $2.11K | New3 settled bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | Yes | 3,320 | 58.2¢ | $2.04K | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| cryptoh01der70x1b90…c4f8 | Yes | 3,056 | 57.5¢ | $1.88K | Proven+$18.65 per $100 · 377 bets |
| VLONA0x7b60…f259 | Yes | 3,000 | 61.0¢ | $1.84K | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 126 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 2,980 | 55.0¢ | $1.83K | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | No | 4,654 | 60.2¢ | $1.79K | New20 settled bets |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 2,700 | 55.3¢ | $1.66K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,596 bets |
| mrworldwide0x98d0…f14a | Yes | 2,514 | 62.8¢ | $1.55K | Proven+$8.95 per $100 · 1,841 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 2,472 | 56.0¢ | $1.52K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 2,350 | 54.9¢ | $1.45K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 2,316 | 56.9¢ | $1.42K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 2,222 | 62.9¢ | $1.37K | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 2,033 | 60.9¢ | $1.25K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 3,199 | 42.6¢ | $1.23K | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | Yes | 2,000 | 60.5¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | 1,933 | 61.9¢ | $1.19K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
| Anthony-Dufresne0x13fb…9cf8 | Yes | 1,926 | 63.9¢ | $1.18K | — |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 3,077 | 40.0¢ | $1.18K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 1,842 | 55.0¢ | $1.13K | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | No | 2,800 | 42.4¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| Thombg0x09e4…93aa | Yes | 1,627 | 62.4¢ | $1K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 115 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | No | 2,578 | 42.0¢ | $992 | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0x841f…bbd0 | Yes | 1,613 | 62.9¢ | $992 | New98 settled bets |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 1,594 | 55.3¢ | $980 | Proven+$3.30 per $100 · 956 bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 1,518 | 60.0¢ | $934 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | 1,500 | 42.4¢ | $923 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 1,500 | 61.0¢ | $923 | Proven+$9.44 per $100 · 906 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 2,344 | 46.0¢ | $902 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 2,145 | 40.6¢ | $826 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 15,703 bets |
| 0xf27dc0x274e…648c | No | 2,000 | 39.0¢ | $770 | — |
| Polyticks0xfdfc…288c | No | 1,995 | 48.0¢ | $768 | Proven+$3.94 per $100 · 139 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,640 | 41.5¢ | $632 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Snoopyfan0x6291…cc47 | No | 1,500 | 45.3¢ | $577 | — |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 1,252 | 63.7¢ | $482 | — |
| pup10x54b5…4b31 | No | 1,116 | 38.1¢ | $430 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | No | 657 | 38.0¢ | $253 | — |
| Iamketoman0x3f1e…e41e | No | 610 | 42.0¢ | $235 | — |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | No | 600 | 48.0¢ | $231 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 574 | 42.6¢ | $221 | Losing−$17.24 per $100 · 7,255 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 528 | 44.8¢ | $203 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 488 | 61.7¢ | $188 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 400 | 39.3¢ | $154 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | No | 370 | 40.0¢ | $142 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 370 | 39.4¢ | $142 | — |
| 2025alfonsoreyes20260x6cb6…fa76 | No | 266 | 51.4¢ | $102 | — |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | No | 250 | 40.0¢ | $96 | — |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 224 | 44.6¢ | $86 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 205 | 43.9¢ | $79 | Positive+$2.58 per $100 · 30,054+ bets · updating |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 176 | 52.0¢ | $68 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| TheImpasse0x2824…a954 | No | 169 | 40.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$25.55 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | No | 150 | 40.0¢ | $58 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 3,032 bets |
| Buzz12z0xac94…e414 | No | 130 | 40.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Slowbathroom0x508f…775f | No | 128 | 40.0¢ | $49 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 123 | 59.0¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| asterley0xe762…064b | No | 108 | 40.0¢ | $41 | — |
| letsgetmoniesfr0x06b5…159d | No | 105 | 43.9¢ | $41 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 105 | 43.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 100 | 60.3¢ | $39 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Boston-Ford0x0905…e5c0 | No | 100 | 47.0¢ | $39 | — |
| jackmadness0x9337…f72b | No | 100 | 49.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Intendant-Jean-Talon0xe6a8…00c7 | No | 100 | 41.0¢ | $39 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 100 | 39.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 100 | 39.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x5317…9a3b | No | 89 | 38.0¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 9,275 bets |
| 0x906a…714e | No | 80 | 40.0¢ | $31 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 68 | 43.6¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| BIGMONEYGAMBLER0x08aa…f1f0 | No | 64 | 40.0¢ | $25 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | No | 13 | 41.4¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.