Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | Yes | 78,510 | 72.2¢ | $45.9K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac80x64c8…73ce | Yes | 65,000 | 68.9¢ | $38K | — |
| coali100x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | 57,141 | 60.9¢ | $33.4K | Positive+$4.11 per $100 · 400 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 47,511 | 69.4¢ | $27.8K | New6 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 45,583 | 32.9¢ | $18.9K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | Yes | 30,000 | 66.1¢ | $17.5K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | 23,483 | 65.2¢ | $13.7K | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | Yes | 20,000 | 68.0¢ | $11.7K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 26,230 | 30.8¢ | $10.9K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 20,443 | 34.6¢ | $8.48K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | No | 17,790 | 34.9¢ | $7.38K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | No | 16,591 | 34.9¢ | $6.89K | New74 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 11,639 | 66.1¢ | $6.81K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 15,702 | 29.6¢ | $6.52K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| realizedlosses0x588b…5635 | Yes | 10,869 | 67.9¢ | $6.36K | New13 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 15,000 | 30.5¢ | $6.22K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | No | 14,102 | 36.9¢ | $5.85K | New41 settled bets |
| pmtosat-0x0c93…a00b | No | 13,151 | 32.5¢ | $5.46K | — |
| mini-man0xc902…cd14 | Yes | 8,279 | 60.0¢ | $4.84K | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 225 bets |
| mackiah0xf6aa…178e | Yes | 8,116 | 58.8¢ | $4.75K | — |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 7,293 | 53.0¢ | $4.27K | Proven+$7.99 per $100 · 518 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 10,000 | 35.0¢ | $4.15K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| VorVZakone0xe4c9…6ef7 | No | 9,451 | 34.9¢ | $3.92K | — |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 8,000 | 33.3¢ | $3.32K | New3 settled bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 7,849 | 31.8¢ | $3.26K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 7,765 | 31.8¢ | $3.22K | Losing−$17.27 per $100 · 7,271 bets |
| Krang0xa577…91e3 | No | 7,087 | 43.3¢ | $2.94K | Positive+$9.00 per $100 · 152 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 5,000 | 58.0¢ | $2.92K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 5,000 | 60.0¢ | $2.92K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | Yes | 5,000 | 70.0¢ | $2.92K | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 2,728 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 4,885 | 57.0¢ | $2.86K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| 0x0009…1d43 | Yes | 4,500 | 66.0¢ | $2.63K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 221 bets |
| MalikNabers0x034f…f8b4 | Yes | 4,435 | 60.0¢ | $2.59K | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 268 bets |
| 0x983e…55ff | Yes | 4,260 | 71.3¢ | $2.49K | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 5,510 | 30.1¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 4,949 | 30.5¢ | $2.05K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| bnbaltz0x8181…a32c | Yes | 3,448 | 59.0¢ | $2.02K | — |
| MMH50x551d…4afe | No | 4,571 | 41.7¢ | $1.9K | New15 settled bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 4,406 | 34.4¢ | $1.83K | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| planetnine0x183a…d514 | Yes | 3,076 | 53.6¢ | $1.8K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 516 bets |
| DBomb0x03e7…9948 | Yes | 2,877 | 70.7¢ | $1.68K | — |
| 0x97b4…d794 | No | 4,027 | 29.8¢ | $1.67K | New36 settled bets |
| DKK1850x5a61…1787 | No | 4,000 | 30.8¢ | $1.66K | — |
| Kevin-KK0xbe75…396b | Yes | 2,738 | 70.8¢ | $1.6K | — |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | No | 3,800 | 31.0¢ | $1.58K | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 3,753 | 30.6¢ | $1.56K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | No | 3,552 | 41.7¢ | $1.47K | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 2,500 | 71.6¢ | $1.46K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| pax0xbfee…7272 | No | 3,362 | 41.0¢ | $1.4K | New32 settled bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 3,324 | 35.3¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| 0x502b…3b15 | Yes | 2,229 | 72.0¢ | $1.3K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 42,765+ bets · updating |
| VvVvV0x4b2d…f0d4 | Yes | 2,222 | 70.0¢ | $1.3K | Losing−$1.49 per $100 · 308 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 3,000 | 34.4¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 2,399 bets |
| thebloodangel0xd590…5eee | No | 2,979 | 34.9¢ | $1.24K | — |
| RabbitRunning0x111f…af00 | Yes | 2,043 | 69.8¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Heskel20xcfee…ffcd | No | 2,866 | 42.9¢ | $1.19K | — |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 2,025 | 67.1¢ | $1.18K | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | Yes | 2,000 | 51.4¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| mateodIb0xd337…235d | No | 2,797 | 35.9¢ | $1.16K | — |
| Vger0x4612…d79b | No | 2,489 | 26.9¢ | $1.03K | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 2,438 | 32.8¢ | $1.01K | Positive+$3.97 per $100 · 85,752+ bets · updating |
| PepsiWarrior0x8a4e…1ba4 | Yes | 1,667 | 61.0¢ | $975 | — |
| 0x4488…e319 | No | 2,290 | 42.0¢ | $950 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 7,566 bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | No | 2,271 | 35.0¢ | $942 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| AxiaSystem0x18cd…d8d2 | Yes | 1,600 | 70.0¢ | $936 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 9,147 bets |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | Yes | 1,515 | 69.0¢ | $886 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | No | 2,118 | 38.3¢ | $879 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| I.AM.E-P0x8594…3733 | Yes | 1,500 | 73.8¢ | $878 | — |
| JohnnyBlaze10xbccb…31e2 | No | 2,110 | 31.0¢ | $876 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 2,066 | 28.7¢ | $857 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| Dodor0x7ce5…7c13 | Yes | 1,449 | 69.9¢ | $848 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 1,440 | 68.3¢ | $842 | Losing−$7.23 per $100 · 15,864 bets |
| FalalaA0x6441…33b7 | No | 2,000 | 44.0¢ | $830 | — |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 2,000 | 29.4¢ | $830 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| moonety0xd8c6…a746 | Yes | 1,254 | 67.9¢ | $733 | — |
| EmDub90xe624…e63b | Yes | 1,160 | 64.2¢ | $678 | — |
| efghvcdbjkpqwo0xe0a5…f6a4 | Yes | 1,110 | 69.3¢ | $649 | New78 settled bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | Yes | 1,100 | 68.1¢ | $643 | New39 settled bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 1,075 | 21.8¢ | $629 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 1,500 | 23.3¢ | $622 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 1,500 | 29.5¢ | $622 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 1,496 | 29.0¢ | $621 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0x43ab…a0ef | Yes | 1,019 | 58.9¢ | $596 | New94 settled bets |
| 2Sherlock0xbd81…006d | Yes | 1,000 | 63.0¢ | $585 | — |
| datadash.XYZ0xe82f…a089 | Yes | 1,000 | 68.9¢ | $585 | — |
| 0xf80e…2af8 | Yes | 1,000 | 70.1¢ | $585 | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 1,000 | 63.1¢ | $585 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 983 | 60.0¢ | $575 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| maxilopez8880xd937…d226 | No | 1,289 | 41.9¢ | $535 | — |
| 0xb1b3…a386 | Yes | 900 | 68.7¢ | $527 | — |
| VorpalQuark0x4bb2…a656 | No | 1,255 | 30.4¢ | $521 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| jack.swag0x0767…9054 | No | 1,168 | 34.9¢ | $485 | — |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | 800 | 68.6¢ | $468 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| mainframeinyourbrain0x7711…2a8d | Yes | 800 | 64.4¢ | $468 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 1,022 | 36.5¢ | $424 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 1,010 | 29.5¢ | $419 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| 0x2147…f935 | No | 981 | 35.0¢ | $407 | — |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 900 | 36.0¢ | $373 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | No | 393 | 36.6¢ | $163 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.