Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rip0x5950…8c48 | No | 175 | 95.9¢ | $172 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 647 bets |
| TheBigMuscle0x270a…7b78 | No | 124 | 98.5¢ | $122 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f |
| No |
| 107 |
| 90.2¢ |
| $106 |
| — |
| myodds0xbc57…753b | No | 88 | 94.5¢ | $87 | — |
| 28zebracavaliers0x2462…8051 | No | 53 | 98.3¢ | $52 | — |
| rageiternal0xe234…aa6a | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $50 | — |
| vitalitytens0xa1b9…8179 | No | 42 | 94.0¢ | $42 | — |
| gpunfv10xe8af…11f4 | No | 30 | 94.3¢ | $30 | — |
| 35ressen0x1ebb…ac0a | No | 28 | 96.1¢ | $28 | — |
| marikmarakesh0x1fc9…e985 | No | 16 | 98.0¢ | $16 | — |
| TrumpTradee30x8e18…f9ff | No | 8 | 98.6¢ | $8 | — |
| ArnoldWebbS0x60f6…25d5 | No | 7 | 97.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x2597…dbdb | No | 5 | 98.7¢ | $5 | — |
| TravisWebbWD0x9165…d781 | No | 2 | 96.0¢ | $2 | — |
| DiazLucas0x596f…2015 | No | 2 | 98.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Wenkie30x0e4f…81a1 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| trader31060x7248…2cb0 | Yes | 133 | 7.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | 128 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| chaosj890xf085…02af | Yes | 101 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 5,508 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 9.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 54 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | 53 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 45 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| karttitan0xe4f1…9833 | Yes | 33 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0c4e…8eaa | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x434f…8266 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaaed…c8c4 | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| NewsGurus0xc278…a116 | Yes | 5 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc9f6…d9f7 | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 5 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | Yes | 2 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 2 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ScottVan0xca8f…d963 | Yes | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.45 per $100 · 28,672 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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