Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 22.1¢ | +6.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 46.9¢ | +30.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 75.2¢ | +59.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 86.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $462 can be bought and $206 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 16.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 18:00 UTC.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play