Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 153 | 91.0¢ | $138 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 100 | 81.0¢ | $91 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ahhuat80x0cad…5dd0 | Yes | 68 | 74.0¢ | $61 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 385 bets |
| zer0parallax0xe30e…c008 | Yes | 30 | 83.0¢ | $27 | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 19 | 59.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 17 | 90.0¢ | $16 | — |