Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | 357 | 91.0¢ | $333 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 100 | 81.0¢ | $94 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 56 | 91.0¢ | $53 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| zer0parallax0xe30e…c008 | Yes | 30 | 83.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 19 | 59.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 17 | 90.0¢ | $16 | — |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 11 | 82.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| 0xb46c…c34d | Yes | 9 | 89.0¢ | $9 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 124 | 9.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 108 | 11.0¢ | $7 | New56 settled bets |
| LazarP0x8100…3dc5 | Yes | 6 | 81.0¢ | $6 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 88 | 15.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 87 | 9.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| thunderquack0x07fd…ad26 | No | 60 | 10.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 614 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 41 | 3.2¢ | $3 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 28 | 19.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 20 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x277f…dfc8 | Yes | 1 | 59.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | No | 19 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| OskTor0xffd5…0d91 | Yes | 1 | 75.0¢ | $1 | — |
| delmedicopoetayloco0x3d94…a85f | Yes | 1 | 98.0¢ | $1 | New17 settled bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | Yes | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PrivetProperty0x3c1d…da77 | No | 5 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.