Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NeH0x11fc…dc48 | No | 50,000 | 87.5¢ | $47K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 159 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 49,645 | 89.9¢ | $46.7K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| gorovi0x1de9…831d | No | 32,382 | 90.8¢ | $30.4K | Positive+$1.79 per $100 · 398 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 24,164 | 91.7¢ | $22.7K | New83 settled bets |
| VladimirPooper0xa53e…218d | No | 18,978 | 94.4¢ | $17.8K | — |
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 15,222 | 91.0¢ | $14.3K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 404 bets |