Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 20.6¢ | +4.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 45.3¢ | +29.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 74.7¢ | +58.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 85.7¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $639 can be bought and $222 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 16.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:04 UTC.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play