Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 20.8¢ | +4.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 45.5¢ | +29.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 74.8¢ | +58.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 85.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $629 can be bought and $255 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 16.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 05:08 UTC.
Russia Invades Another Country · 2 events · $278K in play