Market · 23 of 42 outcomes

Olivier Faure

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:17 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market · 23 of 42 outcomes

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Chance of Yes

30 more outcomes in this event.

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Proven traders, money on each side

3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.

Top holders after netting each trader's Yes shares against their No shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3	No	1,328	99.7¢	$1.33K	Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets
0x42fa…3bcb	No	272	99.3¢	$271	—

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Decided by: The candidate who wins the next French presidential election.§5
Results unknown: If results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§7
Ambiguity: If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by the French Government, Ministry of the Interior.§9
Second round: The market includes any potential second round.§6
Runoff: If no candidate gets over 50%, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.§4
Counted: The outcome of the next French presidential election, whether on schedule or held earlier.§2
Source: A consensus of credible reporting; for ambiguity, the French Ministry of the Interior's official results.§8
Closes: Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:17 UTC. Not financial advice.