Marco Rubio

Decided by

The market resolves Yes if the listed individual officially announces they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM…§1

No filing needed

An announcement is sufficient for Yes, whether or not a nomination is filed now or later.§3

Must be explicit

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.§4

Excluded statements

Conditional, sarcastic, jesting, or immediately-clarified-as-not-genuine statements do not count.§5

Otherwise No

Otherwise, the market resolves No.§2

Counted

An official announcement by the listed individual of a 2028 U.S. presidential run.§1

Source

Official statements by the listed individual (ex: speech, social media); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§6

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

• Andy Beshear 89.5¢
• Ted Cruz 82.5¢
• J.D. Vance 77.0¢
• Gavin Newsom 76.5¢
• Rahm Emanuel 73.5¢
• Pete Buttigieg 72.0¢
• Ron DeSantis 64.5¢
• Jon Ossoff 62.5¢
• Kamala Harris 59.0¢
• Mark Kelly 57.0¢
• Rand Paul 57.0¢
• J.B. Pritzker 55.5¢

59 more outcomes in this event.