Market · 19 of 71 outcomes
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 467 | 39.4¢ | $278 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 474 | 42.3¢ | $192 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 233 | 54.9¢ | $139 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 104 | 71.8¢ | $62 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 140 | 56.6¢ | $57 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 128 | 48.5¢ | $52 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 120 | 35.9¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | No | 56 | 60.7¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| 0x073e…1d35 | Yes | 57 | 35.9¢ | $23 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 35 | 66.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 35 | 64.1¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | Yes | 41 | 46.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.27 per $100 · 4,820 bets |
| justmeandme0x17f4…9d7f | No | 21 | 53.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 63.0¢ | $12 | — |
| letsfackingo0xb716…f61c | No | 20 | 66.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | 27 | 42.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 62.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | No | 8 | 58.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 64.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | No | 3 | 53.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 3 | 36.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| 0x74d6…02a1 | No | 2 | 70.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 1 | 47.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 45.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,132 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play