Market · 3 of 71 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 540 | 74.6¢ | $413 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 267 | 68.6¢ | $204 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | Yes | 173 | 74.6¢ | $133 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 419 | 31.2¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 77 | 64.3¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 172 | 32.4¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
59 more outcomes in this event.