Market · 3 of 71 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 540 | 74.6¢ | $413 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 267 | 68.6¢ | $204 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | Yes | 173 | 74.6¢ | $133 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 419 | 31.2¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 77 | 64.3¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 172 | 32.4¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| TheBigMuscle0x270a…7b78 | No | 171 | 29.1¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 720 bets |
| ClayWise0xadaf…1dde | No | 117 | 30.8¢ | $27 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 84 | 22.1¢ | $20 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| shdhh0x3cd0…15b2 | Yes | 20 | 47.0¢ | $15 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 77.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 10 | 63.3¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| DidoKazaNe0x9dc5…89a3 | No | 30 | 20.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | 30 | 27.5¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 20 | 33.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ijoker0xbff7…554f | Yes | 4 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | No | 10 | 39.0¢ | $2 | — |
| dsosods0x9868…907e | Yes | 3 | 61.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 9 | 31.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | Yes | 2 | 72.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 29.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| freedom690x9362…d4a4 | No | 3 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 2 | 40.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 2 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 1 | 32.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 0xb49f…4fea | Yes | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 0 | 22.9¢ | $0 | — |
| TeenagePanda0x126e…c360 | Yes | 0 | 71.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 73.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 32.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sssfff20x2654…b45f | No | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9793…913c | No | 0 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 101dogs0xc53d…4346 | No | 0 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.