Market · 68 of 71 outcomes
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 362 | 89.1¢ | $331 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 348 | 91.4¢ | $318 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 130 | 92.0¢ | $119 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 70 | 91.0¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 702 | 8.3¢ | $60 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 39 | 92.4¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play