Market · 67 of 71 outcomes
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 362 | 89.1¢ | $331 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 348 | 91.4¢ | $318 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 130 | 92.0¢ | $119 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 70 | 91.0¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 702 | 8.3¢ | $60 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 39 | 92.4¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 16 | 92.3¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| justmeandme0x17f4…9d7f | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $9 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 95 | 8.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| mrblarg640x2482…fd45 | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3d03…9d52 | No | 5 | 92.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 46 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 4 | 92.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 44 | 9.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 39 | 8.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 27 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 3,585 bets |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 2 | 92.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | 25 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| FiscalLiberalSocialConservative0xf22e…18f2 | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | No | 1 | 93.2¢ | $1 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| KreoAnon0xe9ce…711f | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 4 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play