Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | No | 174 | 97.3¢ | $172 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | $53 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.3¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| LearningPizza0x4da4…5535 | Yes | 2,962 | 0.6¢ | $31 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,346 | 8.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 1,938 | 2.5¢ | $20 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 94 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 7 outcomes add up to 96.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.