Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| btcabal0x2f4e…3d8d | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $100 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 98.8¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 |
| Yes |
| 4,900 |
| 14.7¢ |
| $22 |
| Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| totenhamona0x851a…a9bb | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 8 | 34.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| 0x8ed3…631d | Yes | 1,592 | 6.2¢ | $7 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 7 outcomes add up to 94.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.