Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| btcabal0x2f4e…3d8d | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $100 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 98.8¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,900 | 14.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| totenhamona0x851a…a9bb | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $8 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 8 | 34.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| 0x8ed3…631d | Yes | 1,592 | 6.2¢ | $7 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 1,389 | 2.6¢ | $6 | — |
| EmaMT0x8d3b…b567 | Yes | 1,201 | 8.6¢ | $5 | — |
| the-contrarian0xedc6…20fc | Yes | 1,200 | 6.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xbd6d…ed0b | Yes | 1,007 | 7.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 994 | 2.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 782 | 14.3¢ | $4 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 712 | 1.5¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 710 | 6.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| InternoBILL0x414f…fbec | No | 3 | 94.2¢ | $3 | — |
| suoha5180x29bb…f0f4 | Yes | 648 | 1.1¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 476 | 5.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 2 | 94.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 2 | 91.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 5.3¢ | $2 | New36 settled bets |
| Brianm0xa8da…d488 | Yes | 300 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 299 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 290 | 7.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 270 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 237 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.53 per $100 · 76,650+ bets · updating |
| alternativelog0x5348…e4ff | Yes | 237 | 8.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Morras0x7ab8…65db | Yes | 236 | 9.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 186 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 184 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 141 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 122 | 7.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 122 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| XrushChov0x04f9…67ce | Yes | 117 | 8.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Kimera-0xcc7c…4ce2 | Yes | 117 | 8.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 102 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| verbo0x4d01…992b | Yes | 100 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9a0x71c2…4115 | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | Yes | 100 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shriks760xd0ca…4166 | Yes | 87 | 11.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 79 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 66 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| iskren4o0x64ab…23a8 | Yes | 64 | 8.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 63 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| randomgambla0xec2c…4676 | Yes | 59 | 4.2¢ | $0 | New26 settled bets |
| rplt-cto0xc97b…8a22 | Yes | 57 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 55 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 82.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 25 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5c06…2bed | Yes | 22 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | 19 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| BenjaVillaM0x2410…340c | Yes | 18 | 28.8¢ | $0 | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 15 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| username230x09df…5ca9 | Yes | 15 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| sgtmike0x839f…d3f5 | No | 0 | 92.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 0 | 83.6¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 0 | 92.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.