Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | No | 174 | 97.3¢ | $172 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 5,000 | 14.7¢ | $53 | Positive+$6.54 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.3¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,306 bets |
| LearningPizza0x4da4…5535 | Yes | 2,962 | 0.6¢ | $31 | Losing−$5.24 per $100 · 301 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,346 | 8.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,446 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 1,938 | 2.5¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,192 | 3.1¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | Yes | 1,183 | 3.9¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| Isorra0xe473…a5d5 | No | 11 | 98.1¢ | $11 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 791 | 1.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$21.74 per $100 · 232 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 782 | 14.3¢ | $8 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 492 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 364 | 2.7¢ | $4 | New38 settled bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| the-contrarian0xedc6…20fc | Yes | 297 | 1.3¢ | $3 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | Yes | 236 | 14.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 212 | 7.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x9dd1…f50c | Yes | 200 | 3.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Morras0x7ab8…65db | Yes | 200 | 1.9¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 194 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 139 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,005 bets |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 130 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 107 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 127 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 119 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 102 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Clarencetsai0x8c04…2eae | Yes | 100 | 1.8¢ | $1 | New12 settled bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| Pasalos0xb5cf…b6f8 | Yes | 97 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 78 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 56 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 55 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 5,761 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 53 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 47 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 40 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 40 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 35 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 32 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,824 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 25 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 20 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | 19 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 10 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 6 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 4 | 14.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,417 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,781 bets |
| BNBNY0x01ca…038c | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.12M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.