Market · 2 of 21 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
9 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | No | 916 | 54.6¢ | $668 | — |
| 0x241F...e15a0x241f…e15a | Yes | 1,800 | 79.1¢ | $487 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 1,700 |
| 78.7¢ |
| $460 |
| Proven+$11.91 per $100 · 142 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 1,336 | 24.3¢ | $361 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| bleed10xa27f…0ce8 | No | 385 | 20.0¢ | $281 | — |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | No | 300 | 76.6¢ | $219 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.