Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| peachykeen1770x98b8…032d | Yes | 1,580 | 26.1¢ | $64 | — |
| Bet0100x85f6…03ec | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | $20 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 410 |
| 3.1¢ |
| $17 |
| Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,980 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 349 | 0.5¢ | $14 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 348 | 3.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 305 | 1.0¢ | $12 | — |
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 102.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.