Market · 6 of 21 outcomes
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| TNTCo0x3cec…1f74 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.12 per $100 · 149 bets |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 700 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 412 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 369 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 97.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.