Market · 3 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| peachykeen1770x98b8…032d | Yes | 1,580 | 26.1¢ | $65 | — |
| Bet0100x85f6…03ec | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | $20 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 410 | 3.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 351 | 0.5¢ | $14 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 348 | 3.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 305 | 1.0¢ | $13 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 260 | 2.2¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 121 | 9.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| easyg7860xe6fd…1502 | Yes | 98 | 1.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 51 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| libratus10x28b2…eb4f | Yes | 51 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| dalaka0xb9aa…53a5 | Yes | 50 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| kukkalajanita0xe8e6…cb46 | No | 2 | 99.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4543…e2e5 | No | 2 | 99.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2228…de90 | No | 2 | 99.3¢ | $2 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 45 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0xe0e8…142e | No | 2 | 98.2¢ | $2 | — |
| uzh46izi5520xfa1a…383c | No | 2 | 99.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9e84…9b81 | No | 2 | 99.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe5f1…41be | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb808…9ac7 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TNTCo0x3cec…1f74 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.12 per $100 · 149 bets |
| 0x698a…fbbf | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| yanmdfgcfhen05290xee0e…7984 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3150…9f50 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| rumbam0xf3d3…ad06 | Yes | 27 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 1 | 91.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 22 | 9.9¢ | $1 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 20 | 8.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 20 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | Yes | 20 | 12.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 14 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 13 | 10.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 7 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.