Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 14,966 | 58.7¢ | $8.61K | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 15,731 | 39.8¢ | $6.69K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| rerevervadae4r3453214tpermdr43fvd0x09cc…421a | Yes | 14,900 | 38.7¢ | $6.33K | Proven+$34.15 per $100 · 687 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 11,240 | 45.4¢ | $4.78K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | No | 7,000 | 55.4¢ | $4.03K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 6,924 | 52.4¢ | $3.98K | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 6.88K shares each side · Show
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