Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VRVTeam0xe700…7005 | No | 14,615 | 67.0¢ | $9.57K | Positive+$20.63 per $100 · 101 bets |
| rerevervadae4r3453214tpermdr43fvd0x09cc…421a | Yes | 20,459 | 36.5¢ | $7.06K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 7,104 | 51.7¢ | $4.65K | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 13,310 | 37.9¢ | $4.59K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | No | 6,000 | 55.9¢ | $3.93K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | No | 5,961 | 69.0¢ | $3.9K | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 60 shares each side · Show
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